The previous No. Week 16 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. Win Super Bowl. 5 Eagles vs. Odds to make playoffs Odds to miss playoffs Odds to win division; Arizona Cardinals +1000-2000 +2700. Odds to win the Super Bowl: 5%. The Texas Rangers won the 2023 World Series and now there are only five teams that have never won the World Series. Traditional predictions have them sitting with a 75% chance to make the playoffs. On Sunday, they squandered a chance to steal a win against the suddenly vulnerable Seattle Seahawks, losing 13-9 at home. 5, 2022, at 11:22 PM 2022 MLB PredictionsFiveThirtyEight calculated game-by-game Elo ratings for every team in NFL history, over 30,000 ratings in total. Week 11’s Game Changing Plays see the Seahawks settle for a long field goal…and lose. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. How Arizona vs. Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Dez Bryant warms up before a game against the New Orleans Saints in Dallas on Sunday. The Detroit Lions, New York Jets and Dallas Cowboys appear to be the biggest risers of the offseason. Seventeen teams have a 73% and 15% chance of making the playoffs. They got there by defeating the. Denver Broncos » The Denver Broncos (5-5) beat the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, raising their chances of making the playoffs to 27 percent. The Miami Dolphins slipped to third in the playoff odds in the AFC East at -115, while the New England Patriots are a distant fourth. Green Bay’s playoff odds (currently 83 percent) would either rise to 94 percent with a win or fall to 73 percent with a loss, while San Francisco (31. The 2021 NFL season is over. 2, 2021. First Round Bye. The Eagles are listed at -20000 odds to get into the 2024 NFL playoffs. The sample sizes are tiny: With a one-and-done playoff structure, the league plays only 11 playoff games each year. 1 draft pick candidates. Our suggested NFL bets are based on the edges we find against the best NFL odds from the legal sportsbooks in your state. Super Bowl Odds: +6000. Super Bowl Odds: +6000. Filed under NFL. Here's a look at live odds on NFL teams to make the playoffs on the best sports betting apps: Bet NFL Now: Best NFL Betting Promos & Bonuses . Eagles. Despite several offseason additions, the team must prove itself worthy before people place their money on Atlanta. FiveThirtyEight's 2019 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. Rankings SoS Wins Playoffs Super Bowl. Sat. The Cowboys still have a 30% chance of making NFC champs with their current. They got there by defeating the. Daily Lines. Jan. 11, 2022, at 11:09 AM. FiveThirtyEight predicts NFL playoffs and Super Bowl LVI odds. Schedule. . Elo. Statistical model by Nate Silver. UPDATED Feb. Super Bowl odds: +420 FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 30. Such teams are usually rare: From 2015-16 through 2021-22, our preseason forecast included, on average, 5. Schedule. Teams. With the complete field. NFL playoff odds: Teams offering the most value. Miami’s playoff odds dropped by 14 percentage points following Sunday night’s 23-17 loss to the Chargers, per FiveThirtyEight, but really the decline is even steeper than that. Find 22 November, 2023 NFL futures odds. More. You'd also get back your initial $100 stake, for a total of $250, back into your pocket. Atlanta Falcons : Despite having a losing record, the 4-6 Falcons head into NFL Week 12 with +190 To Make The Playoffs odds at Caesars Sportsbook. A positive number (+) means they are not favored to win. What do the odds say about the games, the NFC Championship Game and the AFC Championship Game? Take a look at the point spread, moneyline and over/under for the two NFL playoff games on Sunday. The model enters Super Wild Card Weekend in the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 161-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. San Francisco 49ers-10000. Josh Katz, Kevin Quealy and Rumsey Taylor break down how. See how your favorite team stacks up. Teams. Better. 2 percentage points. Statistical model by Nate Silver, Jay Boice and Neil Paine. Ohio State – +900. Record, point differential, Pro-Football-Reference. Daily Lines. The Colts head into Week 16 with an 89 percent chance of making the playoffs, according to FiveThirtyEight. The Falcons aren’t among the 2023 Super Bowl favorites, and there’s really no reason to believe they should be at this point. More. NFL Week 9 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. Betting odds will continue to shift. FiveThirtyEight's MLB forecast uses a pitcher-adjusted Elo model to project the winner of every game and the chances that each team will win the World Series. Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting. 09-07-2023 • 8 min read. 2024 NFL Playoff Odds. 6% chance of earning a playoff berth. They have the Vikings: Odds to make the playoffs: 92%. Design and development by Jay Boice. 23% – Panthers. Click the button below to take your shot. It is also on a 15-6 roll on top-rated NFL. Design and development by Jay Boice. . On Sunday, the Green Bay Packers beat the New England Patriots, who had entered Week 13 ranked first in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Elo ratings. 26, 2022, at 10:51 PM. How to Read NFL Playoff Betting Odds. We’re midway through the NFL offseason, and sportsbooks have released NFL playoff odds on each team for the upcoming campaign. The models continue to show a greater than 10 percentage point disagreement on the playoff odds of the Cincinnati Bengals (69 percent for Elo, 52 percent for Inpredictable), Carolina Panthers (24. Super Bowl odds. Today, only days away from their final regular season matchup. Is 538 doing anything for nfl this year? I seen they stopped doing it for the mlb don’t know if they are doing it for the nfl too Related Topics Minnesota Vikings NFC North NFC NFL Professional football Professional sport. Although the reigning Super Bowl 57 champion. Statistical models by Nate Silver and Jay Boice. FiveThirtyEight’s NBA forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the NBA finals. These odds at. Teams. The Eagles Played Their A-Game, But The Chiefs Had Patrick Mahomes. 3% – Falcons. Statistical model by Nate Silver, Jay Boice and Neil Paine. NFL Week 2 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. Given their standing in the division and the games remaining, the simulator thinks the Chargers have about a 47 percent chance of making the playoffs, represented by the large number at the top. Total. NFL wild-card playoff best bets *Odds and analysis as of Monday 1/9* Chargers -1. The Arizona Cardinals, Carolina Panthers, and New York Giants have the worst odds to make the playoffs. The Falcons aren’t among the 2023 Super Bowl favorites, and there’s really no reason to believe they should be at this point. Jackson flourished and the Ravens sacked Joe Burrow five times in a 31-19 defeat to send Cincinnati home. Yes, I. Illinois: There's an assumption that, because it's Illinois -- a program that in 2022 finished with a winning record in Big Ten play and eight or more wins for the first time since 2007 -- the. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. How Each NFL Team’s Playoff Odds Have Changed This. Odds for the Cincinnati Bengals to make each round of the 2021 playoffs as the field stands vs. What we’re looking at this week: Week 1 of the NFL season already has us changing our minds. Stay updated with the latest Jets NFL betting odds. 1 spot(6) Giants at (1) Eagles. More. In preparation for the 2015 NFL season, FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight division previews, each highlighting the numbers that may influence a team’…Below are the the current odds to make the playoffs for each NFL team. How much will this game affect playoff odds. ET, ESPN/ABC. Thanks for playing, and congratulations to Derek Truesdale, who finished with the most points this season. Fiesta Bowl: (3) TCU) 51, (2. Of the 19,820 simulations in which the. 13, 2022, at 10:03 PM 2021. 11/22/2023. Friday, January 27, 2023 It’s another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. In 2019 over 15,000 players signed up to play FiveThirtyEight’s NFL forecast game. Plus, MVPs, coaches and rookies. 49ers over/under: 45. His first season in Cleveland was rough, completing just 58. Related: Super Bowl odds: Every team’s. 2%. 1d ESPN staff. NFL MVP Odds 2023-24 Season. The table below represents. Crunch time of the NFL season is right now. Here are the NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook and trends for 49ers vs. FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. FiveThirtyEight's 2019 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship. The Chiefs And Eagles Made The Super Bowl With Grit, Talent, Heart And (Yes) Luck. Josh Allen helped spearhead the effort. Depth Charts. Trusting The Process Playoff Contenders Title Contenders Trusting The Process Playoff Contenders Title Contenders <40% to make playoffs ≥40% to make. The Arizona Cardinals, Carolina. 1-Week Change Team Division. FiveThirtyEight's 2022 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. What the odds say: +210 to make playoffs, +5500 to win AFC, +8000 to win Super Bowl. Playoff odds are also not much changed from last week: Green Bay saw its postseason chances improve the most. Players eligible for leaderboards are those who have played in at least 70 percent of their team’s games and average at least 24 minutes per game (including stats from the regular season and playoffs). com. FiveThirtyEight's 2022 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship. Jared Goff threw for over 250 yards and three touchdowns, and Jamaal Williams put up nearly 150. Daily Lines. This is a pretty standard and expected line for this game. FiveThirtyEight’s NBA forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the NBA finals. 3, 2019, at 10:10 PM. I say “basically” because technically Elo ratings are generally. Chance of making playoffs;. 9, 2023. (10 by FanDuel), a paltry 23 percent chance at the playoffs (FanDuel with sixth-best odds), and a mere 1 percent crack at the title (FD against with sixth-best odds). There are a LOT of scenarios on the table for. Statistical model by Nate Silver. Win Division. 3. Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting. If Kawhi does not play at all, L. In their last outing, the Bills won 37-3 over the. By Josh Planos. All 32 NFL team's 2022 Playoff Odds Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-750) (Bet $750 to win $100) There is a zero percent chance that Tom Brady would come out of retirement to lead this Tampa Bay team again. FILE—CeeDee Lamb of the Dallas Cowboys avoids a tackle from Tay Gowan of the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on. South Dakota State took the top seed, followed by Montana and South Dakota, respectively, at No. Illustration by Elias Stein. Statistical model by Nate Silver and Jay Boice. m. The rivals squared off a third time in the playoffs, with the result mirroring the first two. With six playoff teams coming out of each 16-team conference, the maximum possible value of the Gini. Schedule. NFL playoff odds: Teams offering the most value. How this works: These forecasts are based on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. FanGraphs simulates each season 10,000 times to generate the probabilities. Everything you need to know for the NFL in Week 18, including bold predictions, key stats, playoff clinching scenarios and score picks. Daily Lines. Interestingly, the teams with the best chances to move on in both leagues are not the highest seeds: The No. Also Read: Highest-paid college football coaches 2023: Nick Saban, Kirby Smart lead NCAA salaries. 1 seed in the 2021 NFL season (Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire) Below are the TeamRankings 2021 NFL preseason predictions, including win/loss records, final standings, playoff odds and Super Bowl win odds for all 32 teams. The Best MLB Playoff Odds from the Top Online Sportsbooks in the USA. FiveThirtyEight's model does not. Probability of each 2022 NFL division sending a given number of teams to the playoffs, according to FiveThirtyEight’s Elo forecast model as of Dec. Find all odds and bets related to the 2023 NBA playoffs and place a bet legally and securely on DraftKings Sportsbook. FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Elo ratings. Eagles NFC divisional playoff game: Giants at Eagles odds, moneyline and over/under Spread: Eagles (-7. Luckily, their offense decided to wake up, completely demolishing Justin Fields and the Chicago Bears 41-10. 2023 NFL Playoff Odds NFL team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day. There are a few heavy favorites to reach the postseason, including the undefeated San Francisco 49ers and Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC and the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC. But it could be a lot worse. Stanley Cup odds: 39 percent Why they can win: To put it simply, the 2022-23 Bruins have had the greatest regular season in the history of the NHL , which has existed in one form or another since. 6% implied probability) FiveThirtyEight Projection: 27% . 2018 NFL Predictions For the regular season and playoffs, updated after every game. Just six teams were unanimously picked to make the playoffs, while 24 teams (75% of the league) got at least one vote for a playoff spot. . . 4% chance of winning the 2023 Super Bowl, the third-lowest percentage of the teams remaining in the field. It would also greatly improve their playoff odds: New Orleans jumps up to 24% in FiveThirtyEight’s model with a win this week, reflecting how much more competitive they would be in. Point Diff. Actually, Week 1 Does Matter (To Our NFL Playoff Odds. Along those lines, and between the same guardrails, FiveThirtyEight updated its 2022 College Football Playoff Predictions model after the initial release of the 2022 College Football rankings on Tuesday, and it did indeed change some things from before that baseline was set. Even more importantly, too, Detroit's playoff odds subsequently increased. The 2022 NFL playoffs are advancing to the Divisional round this weekend. One of the NFL playoff bracket predictions from the model: It says the 49ers only have a 25. FiveThirtyEight. Updated Nov. Chargers , at 49ers, vs. 35. There are a few heavy favorites to reach the postseason, including the undefeated San Francisco 49ers and Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC and the defending. The Gini coefficient for NFC playoff probabilities increased from 0. Philly’s playoff odds went up north of 70 percent. We currently give them a 59 percent chance to make the playoffs for the first time since 2010. Here are more odds to make the NFL Playoffs. Figures displayed are rounded to the nearest tenth, but placement along the line is based on unrounded RAPTOR or WAR values. , Jan. This season, of 18 games (including the playoffs), they only lost by more than three points once. We asked 10 NFL analysts to weigh in on next season's Super Bowl winner, MVP candidates, breakout players and most. Brackets originally published March 13. The model enters Super Wild Card Weekend in the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 161-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Statistical model by Nate Silver. 13, 2023, at 10:58 PM To give you a sense of the scale, the average NFL team always has an Elo rating of 1500, and the ratings usually range from 1700 on the high side to 1300 on the low end of the spectrum. Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. Schedule. NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions for Week 13, 2021: Model loving Colts and Broncos SportsLine's advanced model locked in its Week 13 NFL picks for every game on the NFL scheduleThe Texans opened this NFL season with +20,000 odds to win the Super Bowl. Kansas City Chiefs. How to Read NFL Playoff Betting Odds. Oregon – +800. The Commanders hold the final wild card berth with a 7-7-1 record, leaving Green Bay a half game back of them. 2, 2021, at 11:36 PM 2021 MLB PredictionsThe Allstate Playoff Predictor breaks down which teams have the best chance to make this season's College Football Playoff. The. FanDuel BetMGM PointsBet -20000. The College Football Playoff Features Four Worthy Teams — But Picking Them Wasn’t Easy. NFL Week 8 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds By Nate Silver. In fact, in the Saints’ first nine games, the only 2022 playoff team they face is the Jags, who had to win five straight to get to 9-8 and in the postseason last year. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Every forecast update is based on 20,000 simulations of the remaining season. We released our forecast. The Steelers are the first team in NFL history with a winning record through eight games despite being outgained in each contest. The Chiefs were the favorites all offseason as well, but saw the 49ers take over after Week 1. 9h Kevin Pulsifer. An updated look at FiveThirtyEight's updated Colleg Football Playoff Predictions and odds after Week 7. Check back after this week’s games to see whether you beat FiveThirtyEight and. What to know: The Bills still hold the No. They can take full control of the AFC East with a win over the. UPDATED Feb. FiveThirtyEight's 2021 NFL playoff projection model has the Browns with a 20 percent chance of making the playoffs, the ninth-best odds in the AFC with seven playoff spots up for grabs. Anyway. Take, for example, Sunday’s game between the New. Three of them - the San Diego Padres, Tampa Bay Rays, and Seattle Mariners - will all head into 2024 with decent odds, while the Milwaukee Brewers are still a viable playoff contender and the Colorado Rockies are the longest of long shots. Basically this is Josh Allen's first playoff game and just the. Probability of winning the Super Bowl by rank (among playoff field) for the 2018 season and the average of the 1990-2017 seasons, according to FiveThirtyEight Elo ratings rank 2018 TeamIt’s hard to say whether this is an anomaly or part of a larger trend toward more randomness in the NFL playoffs. 61 82 61 82 Samuel Chase McLaurin Brown Akins Samuel Chase McLaurin Brown Akins. The full 24-team field was revealed on Sunday, Nov. After 25 years of trying, the Bills finally broke through and returned to the AFC East winner’s circle in 2020. FiveThirtyEight’s NBA forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the NBA finals. Our platform offers NFL Sportsbook Odds, Betting Lines, Live Betting, and Point Spreads tailored to enhance your NFL betting experience. Week 12. The 2022 NFL season is over. FiveThirtyEight's Ryan Best tweeted that the site will no longer support sports forecasts as a result of layoffs at Disney and ABC Sports. 5h NFL Nation. We’ve seen a shift away from the parity of the. 5-point favorites with a chance to become the third team in the playoff era to go 15-0 and win the national championship. It is also on a 16-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks. The Super Bowl race might be a little “dull,” but the playoff race surely won’t be. 538 nfl predictions . May 2, 2023. Schedule. I say “basically” because technically Elo ratings are generally. For any game between two teams (A and B) with certain pregame Elo ratings, the odds of Team A winning are: Pr(A) = 1 10−EloDiff 400 + 1 P r ( A) = 1 10 − E l o D i f f 400 + 1. As of November 24 the Houston Texans' odds of winning the Super Bowl, +6000, place them 12th in the NFL. Against the Chargers, he had a QBR of just 29. Key Dates for 2023-24 NFL Season August 10th: Preseason begins September 7th: Regular season begins October 31st: NFL trade deadline January 7th: Final regular-season game January 13th: NFL playoffs begin February 6th. 2% of his. 7 points, good enough to be in the 97th percentile and in 514th place. New York Times Playoff Simulator Lets Fans Test Out Playoff Scenarios. Stats. 5 (-110) @ Jaguars. W. NFL Odds. The Washington Commanders had a clear path to the playoffs ahead of Week 15. 2021 NFL Predictions. Updated Nov. 25% of. Cincinnati Bengals. Find NFL odds and NFL spreads for upcoming games at FanDuel Sportsbook. Of the 30,180 simulations in which the Saints lost, they made the playoffs 8,273 times, or 27 percent. CONFERENCE Elo rating Elo 1-Week Change Make playoffs Make play-Win Rates. 26, 2023. By Neil Paine. Like squeezing a balloon, if one team’s playoff chances decline, other teams’ chances expand. We’re midway through the NFL offseason, and sportsbooks have released NFL playoff odds on each team for the upcoming campaign. For example, if the Minnesota Vikings are listed at -130, you must bet. A win next week would clinch a playoff berth. Stats. MIA at NYJ Fri 3:00PM. Our experts provide insights on their Super Bowl odds, playoff chances, and much more. 3 of 9 4 of 9 San Francisco 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo (10) passes against the Dallas Cowboys during the first half of an NFL wild-card playoff football game in Arlington, Texas, Sunday. In 2022, seven of the 12 playoff teams didn’t make the postseason in the year prior, and seven playoff teams from 2021 failed to qualify this. Here is how The Sporting News' model sees the 2022 NFL season unfolding. Bills' Rapp (neck) exits in. 6, and their odds of making the. Buffalo Bills-250 +210 +125. When reading NFL odds, a negative number (-) by a team’s name means they are favored to win. 5 points (25) Moneyline: Ravens win as -130 favorites (bet $10 to win $17. NFL wild-card playoff best bets *Odds and analysis as of Monday 1/9* Chargers -1. FPI chances to make playoffs: 98. (SN illustration) The 2023 NFL season figures to be another wild-ride for 285 games all the way through Super Bowl 58. Updated FiveThirtyEight playoff predictions after third CFP rankings release. 2023-24 NFL MVP Odds. Louis Rams on Thursday in St. Teams. Cincinnati does lose the head-to-head. The Green Bay Packers (8-8) beat the Minnesota Vikings in Week 17, raising their chances of making the playoffs to 62 percent from 31 percent. Standings. Next >. 2%. Arizona Cardinals. With six playoff teams coming out of each 16-team conference, the maximum possible value of the Gini. . It’s a 54 percent favorite to make the playoffs, up from 38 percent last week. Filed under College Football. NFL Week 16 Playoff Implications: When Things Start To Shake Out. This means their model was able to predict NFL games better than 97% of those that played. It. Tennessee Titans (8-4). Unlike most NFL betting markets, fantasy football challenges, or pick’em. Here are the playoff odds for the Seahawks and the other 31 NFL teams: No team has clinched a playoff berth so far, although some are all but certain to make it. FILE—CeeDee Lamb of the Dallas Cowboys avoids a tackle from Tay Gowan of the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on. FiveThirtyEight & DARKO Click the odds below to bet any of these prices now at DraftKings Sportsbook. com): Clinched playoff berth; 6% for winning division; 0. All teams with at least a 5 percent chance to make the 2021 College Football Playoff (according to the FiveThirtyEight model), with the remaining games that swing their playoff odds the most Most. More. Tampa Bay Rays (99. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. . Win Div. The full 24-team field was revealed on Sunday, Nov. From there, it’s a mere 3. 31st. How Arizona vs. Bills in the AFC and the Packers vs. The 2023 NFL playoffs and the countdown to Super Bowl 57 are upon us. Continue. m. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. We tiered each team's likelihood of making the postseason, from the Super Bowl favorites to the No. Statistical model by Nate Silver and Jay Boice. Odds to MISS NFL Playoff at @BetMGM. 2021 NFL Predictions. 59 last week. Georgia – +250. By Jay Boice, Neil Paine and Nate Silver. 0. 2023 Odds to Make the NFL Playoffs. They are your 2023 Zombie Team, rising from the grave to haunt the AFC. Atlanta Falcons +115-135 +240. As always, we estimate each team’s. FanDuel Odds to Make Playoffs: +198 (33. Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa is the top MVP favorite at +370 after throwing for three TDs in Sunday’s win. Miami Dolphins defensive end Cameron Wake enters the field before the Week 1 game against the New England Patriots in Miami Garden, Florida, on Sunday. Check out the 2023 NFL playoff odds for every team, along with our top picks. 5 months until the four-team College Football. The Sooners would have to. Heading into Week 14, Tua led the NFL in dropbacks with motion at the snap, and he had a raw QBR of 63. DraftKings . He won the selection by unanimous vote, averaging 31 points, six rebounds, and five assists in the finals. In many ways. hermsmeyer: So much depends on Wilson — and he is just not playing well. 2022 CFB Playoffs. Below is a breakdown of the playoff odds for all 32 clubs, along with a look at each team’s current state of affairs. Scores. Statistical model by Nate Silver. Below, we’ll look at the best lines for each NFL team’s hopes of making it to the playoffs in the 2023-24 season. Thanks for playing, and congratulations to Derek Truesdale, who finished with the most points this season. NFL Week 5 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. 1. Stats. FiveThirtyEight released its annual NFL team win total projections this week,. The Buccaneers are sitting well with a 52% chance of making NFC champs and a 24% chance of making it to the Super Bowl. Here's a breakdown on the best value bets and sleeper teams to wager on at this point in the season. Thursday, January 12, 2023. The model enters the Divisional Round of the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 162-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Cleveland Browns. 01 to 1. One of those games is Eagles at Chiefs in Week 11.